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基于SEIR模型的COVID-19疫情防控效果评估和预测   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
通过对COVID-19疫情在中国的传播情况进行分析,建立了一个SEIR流行病模型,模型中将确诊人群分成已收治和未收治两类.先从理论上分析了模型的无病平衡点及其稳定性、基本再生数等关键问题;再结合实际数据,对武汉封城前和封城后两个阶段疫情的发展趋势进行数值模拟和比较分析,讨论了模型中一些重要参数对确诊人数的影响;最后,针对上述理论分析和数值模拟的结果,对之前采取的一些控制策略作了分析评估,同时对疫情后期发展进行预测.  相似文献   
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梁华  戴可  柯改利 《化学教育》2019,40(4):46-49
针对学生实验课积极性不高、实验教学效果不理想的问题,对一门选修课"精细化工"的实验进行了重新思考和设计,让学生参与从实验具体内容制定、操作到结果讨论的整个过程,并首次以"递进式"实验的方式由学生参与第2次实验(基于前一个实验的改进和完善),使学生了解理论知识转化为可行实验方案的具体做法,切身体会在实验原理相同的情况下,实验方案的细微调整对实验结果的巨大影响。结果表明,这种"以学生为中心"的改进能让学生注重实验细节,同时关注实验失败的原因,并在第2次实验中及时修正。这为学生实验综合素质的培养提供了一种教学思路。  相似文献   
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Journal of Thermal Analysis and Calorimetry - Microgas turbines are one of the most well-known technologies for distributed generation. Unfortunately, their efficiency is not as high as it should...  相似文献   
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The single-photon excitation and transmission spectra of strong-coupling hybrid optomechanics are theoretically analyzed, where a two-level system (TLS) is coupled to a mechanical resonator (MR), generating Jaynes–Cummings-type polariton doublets. In this model, both the optomechanical coupling and the TLS-MR coupling are strong. In this parameter region, polaron-assisted excitation reemission processes can strongly affect the single-photon excitation and output spectra of the cavity. It is found that the fine structure around each sideband can be used to characterize the TLS-MR and the effective TLS-photon couplings, even at the single-quantum level. Thus, the spectrum structures may make it possible to sensitively probe the quantum nature of a macroscopic mechanical element. A possible approach for tomographic reconstruction of the state of a TLS, utilizing the single-photon transmission spectra, is further provided.  相似文献   
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采用施加压力的方法将聚苯硫醚熔体凝固,凝固后获得的聚苯硫醚样品经过降温和卸压后在常温常压下回收. X射线衍射和差示扫描量热分析表明:约20 ms时间的快速压缩过程可以抑制熔体结晶,制备出非晶态聚苯硫醚块材,样品的表面及中心都是非晶态.非晶态聚苯硫醚的玻璃化转变温度和晶化温度分别为318和362 K.常压下的退火实验表明,非晶态聚苯硫醚在425 K等温结晶的产物为正交相晶型.压致凝固法中熔体的凝固不是靠温度变化,而是靠压力变化,样品表面和内部处在一致的温度下同时受压凝固,避免了热传导对非晶尺寸的影响,因此非常有利于获得结构均匀的大尺寸非晶态材料.  相似文献   
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Transformation hydrodynamics and the corresponding metamaterials have been proposed as a means to exclude the drag force acting on an object. Here, we report a strategy to deploy the hydrodynamic cloaks in a more practical manner by assembling different-shaped cloaking parts. Our strategy is to first model a square-shaped cloak and a carpet cloak and then combine them to conceal a more complex-shaped space in the three-dimensional hydrodynamic flow. With the derivation of transformation hydrodynamics, the coordinate transformations for each hydrodynamic cloaking are demonstrated with the calculated viscosity tensors. The pressure and velocity fields of the square, triangular (carpet), and exemplary three-dimensional house-shaped cloaks are numerically simulated, thus showing a cloaking effect and reduced drag. This study suggests an efficient way of cloaking complex architectures from fluid-dynamic forces.  相似文献   
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The Biogeography-Based Optimization algorithm and its variants have been used widely for optimization problems. To get better performance, a novel Biogeography-Based Optimization algorithm with Hybrid migration and global-best Gaussian mutation is proposed in this paper. Firstly, a linearly dynamic random heuristic crossover strategy and an exponentially dynamic random differential mutation one are presented to form a hybrid migration operator, and the former is used to get stronger local search ability and the latter strengthen the global search ability. Secondly, a new global-best Gaussian mutation operator is put forward to balance exploration and exploitation better. Finally, a random opposition learning strategy is merged to avoid getting stuck in local optima. The experiments on the classical benchmark functions and the complexity functions from CEC-2013 and CEC-2017 test sets, and the Wilcoxon, Bonferroni-Holm and Friedman statistical tests are used to evaluate our algorithm. The results show that our algorithm obtains better performance and faster running speed compared with quite a few state-of-the-art competitive algorithms. In addition, experimental results on Minimum Spanning Tree and K-means clustering optimization show that our algorithm can cope with these two problems better than the comparison algorithms.  相似文献   
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《中国化学快报》2020,31(12):3183-3189
Engineered nanomaterials have attracted significantly attention as one of the most promising antimicrobial agents for against multidrug resistant infections. The toxicological responses of nanomaterials are closely related to their physicochemical properties, and establishment of a structure-activity relationship for nanomaterials at the nano-bio interface is of great significance for deep understanding antibacterial toxicity mechanisms of nanomaterials and designing safer antibacterial nanomaterials. In this study, the antibacterial behaviors of well-defined crystallographic facets of a series of Au nanocrystals, including {100}-facet cubes, {110}-facet rhombic dodecahedra, {111}-facet octahedra, {221}-facet trisoctahedra and {720}-facet concave cubes, was investigated, using the model bacteria Staphylococcus aureus. We find that Au nanocrystals display substantial facet-dependent antibacterial activities. The low-index facets of cubes, octahedra, and rhombic dodecahedra show considerable antibacterial activity, whereas the high-index facets of trisoctahedra and concave cubes remained inert under biological conditions. This result is in stark contrast to the previous paradigm that the high-index facets were considered to have higher bioactivity as compared with low-index facets. The antibacterial mechanism studies have shown that the facet-dependent antibacterial behaviors of Au nanocrystals are mainly caused by differential bacterial membrane damage as well as inhibition of cellular enzymatic activity and energy metabolism. The faceted Au nanocrystals are unique in that they do not induce generation of reactive oxygen species, as validated for most antibiotics and antimicrobial nanostructures. Our findings may provide a deeper understanding of facet-dependent toxicological responses and suggest the complexities of the nanomaterial-cell interactions, shedding some light on the development of high performance Au nanomaterials-based antibacterial therapeutics.  相似文献   
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